GOP Trump Haters at HotAir Advertise Trump “Fading” in New York. We shall see!

Hmmm: Trump under 50% in poll of New York for first time this month

By  ALLAHPUNDIT  at HotAir:

“Via Red State, not a huge deal but worth flagging in case there’s another poll this weekend showing his numbers dipping a bit in New York on the eve of the primary. That would suggest a trend, and that would be a big deal given what’s at stake. To be clear: Trump’s going to romp in NY on Tuesday night, winning by 25 points or better, and will pick up something like 75 delegates even in a worst-case scenario. But since his path to 1,237 is so difficult, it matters a lot whether he ends up with 75 in New York or 95, which is what he’d get if he sweeps the state. Every delegate he leaves on the table now will have to be made up for later; finishing with 75 in New York means he’ll likely need to find another 10-20 somewhere in California on June 7th, where he won’t have home-field advantage.

The reason this poll is significant (apart from the enormous 14,000-person sample size) is that 50 percent is a magic number in New York. If you hit 50 statewide, you get all 11 of the state’s at-large delegates. If you don’t, the second-place finisher gets some of them proportionally. More importantly, if you hit 50 percent in a congressional district, you get all three of that district’s delegates. If you don’t, you get two delegates and the second-place finisher gets one. There are 27 congressional districts, meaning that the difference between Trump hitting 49 percent in every district and hitting 50 there is … 27 delegates. That’s a big haul and potentially crucial to his ability to reach 1,237. (To put it in perspective, Cruz’s prize for sweeping Colorado’s delegate elections was 37 delegates.) So when a poll drops showing him at 49 percent statewide, we sit up and pay attention. The margins matter on Tuesday night. A lot….”    Please read ahead:

 

http://hotair.com/archives/2016/04/15/hmmm-trump-under-50-in-poll-of-new-york-for-first-time-this-month/

GOP Establishment Now Sells Trump as Loser

Unelectable: Trump’s Unfavorable Rating Spikes to 67 Percent Nationally

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2016/03/08/unelectable-trumps-unfavorable-rating-spikes-to-67-percent-nationally-n2130349

Among voters broadly, he’s a five-alarm dumpster fire:

As Allahpundit notes, Trump is (-42) on the honesty metric, nearly twice as bad as Hillary Rodham Clinton.  Think about that.  And that’s his best margin among these four characteristics.  He’s nearly 50 points (!) upside down on the ‘presidential temperament’ question.  Cruz and (departed) Rubio each vastly outperform Trump on each and every one of these points among the general electorate.  Cruz is competitive but underwater on all four, while Rubio is actually right-side-up on two of the four. Among Republicans?  Blowouts….

 

Trump’s overall favorable/unfavorable rating is a breathtakingly bad (-37), much worse than anyone else polled (Hillary -6, Rubio -6, Cruz -16). NBC also has a new survey pegging Trump’s unfavorables near 70 percent.

** Trump’s RCP poll averages against Hillary are three times worse than Cruz’s, which are within the polls’ margin of error. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html  And comparisons of Trump’s numbers  to Reagan’s numbers at this stage of the election are wildly inaccurate.

No, Trump’s Polling Position Isn’t ‘Better Right Now’ Than Reagan’s Was in 1980

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2016/04/15/no-trumps-polling-position-isnt-better-right-now-than-reagans-in-1980-n2148737?utm_content=bufferb396c&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer

This is a more important indicator than the head-to-head scores, which are easier to dismiss (though less so as time wears on, particularly given the universal name recognition Trump and Clinton enjoy). Reagan was never, ever even remotely as disliked as Trump is now. And as we discussed yesterday, his image problems aren’t improving. In fact, they’ve managed to get worse with female voters, who comprise more than half of the electorate.  To wit: …..

 

==> Bottom line: Trump gets waxed even by a weak Clinton in the general election (unless Hillary is led away in handcuffs over her emails) and likely drags down Republicans in the Senate to a minority.   Cruz has a fighting chance against Clinton, but at least won’t be an albatross in Senate races.  Kasich could probably beat a weak Clinton and, even though he’s an uninspiring moderate who won’t fire up the conservative base,  probably gives Republicans a decent chance to hold a Senate majority.

(I, Glenn Ray,  received the above shock clock of our American future from Ted Cruz folks……the folks whose candidate, or any other Republican but our Donald Trump,  has NO OPPORTUNITY TO WIN THE 1237 votes to secure victory for their man on the first ballot.

To date, GOP world, both professional and devoted supporters  have  done their   best to outdo our Donald by fear and smear….. debates,  millions of dollars of paid ads portraying Mr. Trump and his followers as thugs, “Low information voters”, as snot Senator Cruz  described us, and trickery by local, state, and national GOP establishment sources worming their way through  mud encouraging we conservatives abandon our Donald….or they’ll abandon our Donald by any means possible……as demonstrated in the SMEARING AND FEARING paragraphs above.

If your GOP snot, Senator Cruz is so winsome a candidate, why isn’t he leading the GOP field by miles?…..If GOP  Governor John Kasich,   slouchy, grumpy, and sour-popular as he is, why  isn’t he miles ahead of the rest of the once 17 Republican  member pack?

What if GOP central, Paul Ryan, Reince Priebus, Lindsay Graham, and countless others who perform on “news” television,   those of the Fox world and conservative print media, and countless others  bought, persuaded,  or  paid for by special interest pack  gurus,  had decided NOT  TO  FAULT AND  DESTROY DONALD TRUMP FROM THE VERY BEGINNING OF THE CAMPAIGN  CALENDAR LAST SUMMER?

Should we subtract 40% from the hate Donald statistics so repeatedly listed in the claims recorded above?  More?   Donald Trump is a very, very winsome guy if one cares to wake up and asses honestly why he is winning.

However……Media statistics, those gathered  pumped up by Trump-haters report……

“It’s Donald Trump’s fault he has high negatives.”   He and his followers are thugs, racists, sexists, hate islamists, nuns, outdoor workers ignorant of the HOLY GOP  work of salesfolk, Dennis Prager, William Kristol of Weekly Standard,  Stephen Hayes, feminist, Megyn Kelly, GOP Karl Rove, Jonah Goldberg, Charles Krauthammer of Fox,  Rich Lowry of the National Review, PowerLine,  PJMedia, and the Wall Street Journal  blabbings and writings.

If Donald Trump  weren’t such a dynamic, HONEST, gutsy, experienced builder and businessman, so energetic in his love for America,  our country might have become strangled by the THIRD MAN BUSH to defend America from Dem Socialist Dictatorship.

THE REAL QUESTION IS….HOW DID THESE,  SO MANY GOOD CONSERVATIVE AMERICAN SOULS,   BECOME SO FOUL AND  UGLY, SO PINCHED AND DISHONEST ABOUT, AND  SO FIXED ON DESTROYING DONALD TRUMP FROM THE VERY BEGINNING OF THIS PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN SEASON…..

THE REAL ANSWER IS…..THEY BELONG TO  THE SAME, VERY, VERY SMALL CLASS OF URBAN FOLK WHO MAKE A VERY GOOD  LIVING BLABBING THE SAME BLABBINGS……My beloved Dennis Prager is definitely INCLUDED in this very, small, but influential  political and cultural propagandists of their brand of conservatism….believing we should think and act as they, the privileged elites, do.

Your statistics of popularity vs. unpopularity claimed  above are mere propaganda at this point….perhaps mainly as a result of nasty  propaganda founded and spread primarily by you, the GOP pinched club.)