• Pragerisms

    For a more comprehensive list of Pragerisms visit
    Dennis Prager Wisdom.

    • "The left is far more interested in gaining power than in creating wealth."
    • "Without wisdom, goodness is worthless."
    • "I prefer clarity to agreement."
    • "First tell the truth, then state your opinion."
    • "Being on the Left means never having to say you're sorry."
    • "If you don't fight evil, you fight gobal warming."
    • "There are things that are so dumb, you have to learn them."
  • Liberalism’s Seven Deadly Sins

    • Sexism
    • Intolerance
    • Xenophobia
    • Racism
    • Islamophobia
    • Bigotry
    • Homophobia

    A liberal need only accuse you of one of the above in order to end all discussion and excuse himself from further elucidation of his position.

  • Glenn’s Reading List for Die-Hard Pragerites

    • Bolton, John - Surrender is not an Option
    • Bruce, Tammy - The Thought Police; The New American Revolution; The Death of Right and Wrong
    • Charen, Mona - DoGooders:How Liberals Hurt Those They Claim to Help
    • Coulter, Ann - If Democrats Had Any Brains, They'd Be Republicans; Slander
    • Dalrymple, Theodore - In Praise of Prejudice; Our Culture, What's Left of It
    • Doyle, William - Inside the Oval Office
    • Elder, Larry - Stupid Black Men: How to Play the Race Card--and Lose
    • Frankl, Victor - Man's Search for Meaning
    • Flynn, Daniel - Intellectual Morons
    • Fund, John - Stealing Elections
    • Friedman, George - America's Secret War
    • Goldberg, Bernard - Bias; Arrogance
    • Goldberg, Jonah - Liberal Fascism
    • Herson, James - Tales from the Left Coast
    • Horowitz, David - Left Illusions; The Professors
    • Klein, Edward - The Truth about Hillary
    • Mnookin, Seth - Hard News: Twenty-one Brutal Months at The New York Times and How They Changed the American Media
    • Morris, Dick - Because He Could; Rewriting History
    • O'Beirne, Kate - Women Who Make the World Worse
    • Olson, Barbara - The Final Days: The Last, Desperate Abuses of Power by the Clinton White House
    • O'Neill, John - Unfit For Command
    • Piereson, James - Camelot and the Cultural Revolution: How the Assassination of John F. Kennedy Shattered American Liberalism
    • Prager, Dennis - Think A Second Time
    • Sharansky, Natan - The Case for Democracy
    • Stein, Ben - Can America Survive? The Rage of the Left, the Truth, and What to Do About It
    • Steyn, Mark - America Alone
    • Stephanopolous, George - All Too Human
    • Thomas, Clarence - My Grandfather's Son
    • Timmerman, Kenneth - Shadow Warriors
    • Williams, Juan - Enough: The Phony Leaders, Dead-End Movements, and Culture of Failure That Are Undermining Black America--and What We Can Do About It
    • Wright, Lawrence - The Looming Tower

Good Riddance Covid-19! Wrong To Impose You IN THE FIRST PLACE!

MARCH 4, 2022 BY JOHN HINDERAKER at PowerLine:


Across America, jurisdictions are ending covid-related mandates and shutdowns. No more masks! No more vaccine certificates! Get the kids back in school! Of course I think these developments are all good; I have argued from near the beginning of the epidemic that shutdowns and mask mandates are useless and counterproductive. But why are liberals in government now throwing in the towel?

The standard explanation is that the extreme measures taken to “combat” covid have worked, along with vaccination. Thus, because of the great progress we have made, life can get back to normal. Joe Biden framed it in typical fashion in his State of the Union speech:

Because of the progress we’ve made, because of your resilience and the tools that we have been provided by this Congress, tonight I can say we are moving forward safely, back to more normal routines.
Just a few days ago, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued new mask guidelines.

Under these new guidelines, most Americans in most of the country can now go mask free.
Thanks to the progress we have made in the past year, Covid-19 no longer need control our lives.

Really? What progress is that? Is there any reason to think that covid is receding into the past? No. This screen shot shows new covid cases reported to CDC on a rolling seven-day average basis:

In fact, we are just now coming out of the highest spike in covid cases in the history of the epidemic. With regard to cases, there has been no progress in the past year, and there is zero reason to assume there are no major spikes coming in the future. And the vaccines have been widely available for a year now, while the CDC reports that 81 percent of Americans have received at least one shot. Obviously the vaccines have done little or nothing to stop the spread of covid.

You might say, sure, but those recent cases are the harmless omicron variant. Cases are up, but deaths are not. But you would be wrong. Here are the CDC’s numbers for covid deaths, again on a seven-day rolling average basis:

It looks to me as though the last seven months have seen at least as many covid deaths as any prior seven-month period. And, despite the fact that various government agencies have produced data purporting to show that vaccines dramatically reduce the incidence of hospitalization and death–data that in some instances, at least, appears to be flawed–the overall numbers do not reflect any such dramatic impact.

In short, if you believe that “covid deaths” really are deaths caused by covid, and if you think covid is such a serious disease that unprecedented measures must be taken to combat it, and if you think that mask mandates, shutdowns, school closures and vaccine passports actually work to stop the spread of the disease, then there is no reason why those measures should stop now.

The reality is twofold. First, politicians are implicitly giving up on those anti-covid measures, even though they will never admit that they were wrong to impose them in the first place. Second, most people are fed up with covid restrictions and have more or less gotten over their fear of the disease. (Some, of course, never feared it in the first place.) With the midterm elections coming, politicians, including the politicians who run bureaucracies like the CDC, are giving in to the public will, while taking credit for giving us our freedom back. But none of this has anything to do with science.

But, Who’s Going To Be The CLOWN FOR ‘LET’S PRETEND’? ARM FINLAND WELL…to begin with!

If Western Leaders Will Not Stop Putin By Force, They Should Help Negotiate Peace

MARCH 04, 2022


If there is an off-ramp that might prevent what now appears to be the inevitable reduction of Ukraine to rubble, then Western leaders should not block it with bellicose talk and weak half-measures.

Author John Daniel Davidson profile

by JOHN DANIEL DAVIDSON at American Greatness:

As the Russian invasion of Ukraine stretches into its second week, and Moscow’s tactics shift to the direct targeting of urban centers and civilian populations, the United States and our European allies are facing tough questions about how much assistance to give the Ukrainians without becoming belligerents — or being considered belligerents by Russia — and thus widening the war.

As I write, Russian forces are laying siege to cities across Ukraine, contesting vital ports, and targeting civilians and critical infrastructure. The bombardment of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second-largest city, has left at least dozens dead and hundreds more injured. Russian troops are now in control of Kherson, a major city in the south. The southern port city of Mariupol has been encircled, and the Russian attack there has cut power, water, and heat. Kyiv is under attack, and there are reports that Russia is preparing a major amphibious assault on Odessa.

Meanwhile, our leaders appear to be living in a fantasyland where their expressions of solidarity with Ukraine mean something tangible. Economic sanctions, the banning of Russian products from store shelves, the exclusion of Russian cats from cat shows, and the seizure of mega-yachts owned by Russian oligarchs, among other weak and inchoate responses from the West, are not going to stop Russian artillery and missiles from reducing Ukrainian cities to rubble in the coming days and weeks. The Ukrainians have fought bravely and inspired the world with their valor, but a new phase of the war is beginning, and Western leaders need to think seriously about what’s coming, and how this will end.

To stop the Russian invasion, the Ukrainians need more from the West than economic sanctions and bans on Russian products. They need heavy weapons, munitions, air support, and real-time intelligence from Western powers, and they need these things right now. The NATO allies understand this, on some level, and are pouring weapons into Ukraine — rocket launchers, Javelin antitank missiles, Stinger surface-to-air missiles, along with machine guns, sniper rifles, and ammunition.

But they are not sending military aircraft, and they are not sending troops. The United States will not even impose sanctions on Russian oil or entertain the idea of ramping up domestic oil production to offset Russian imports. A White House flack told reporters aboard Air Force One this week: “We don’t have a strategic interest in reducing the global supply of energy.” So that’s that. 

The West, it seems, is trying to go right up to the line of belligerence without crossing it. Helping Ukraine, but not helping too much. For example, it appears that the U.S. is sharing some targeting intelligence with Ukraine but not real-time targeting of the kind that would enable Ukraine to take out individual Russian units.

Rep. Adam Smith, D-Wash., chair of the House Armed Services Committee, who said Thursday morning on MSNBC that “we are providing some intelligence” to Ukraine, also said that real-time targeting would cross a line “to marking us participating in the war.” Hours later, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki implied that we were not giving any targeting intelligence to Ukraine, which prompted pushback from Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., who called Psaki’s comments “truthy” and that they do not “capture the full reality.”

Most likely, we are indeed providing targeting intelligence to Ukraine, but giving them the information only after a delay, so Russia cannot accuse us of assisting in the direct targeting of their forces.

That’s just one example of the needle Western powers are trying to thread. As the war goes on, and the fighting intensifies in and around Ukraine’s urban centers, the eye of that needle, so to speak, will get smaller and smaller. That means our leaders need to get serious about what they are prepared to do, and not do, in the defense of Ukraine. And they need to be clear with Ukraine and Russia about their intentions.

Right now, there is a galling lack of seriousness and clarity among them. On Thursday, Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., took to Twitter to call for the assassination of Russian President Vladimir Putin, as if that’s a realistic option to end the crisis and avert catastrophe in Ukraine.

His comment follows other reckless comments in recent days from U.S. lawmakers and former generals calling for NATO to impose a no-fly zone over Ukraine. A no-fly zone would mean NATO warplanes shooting down Russian warplanes. It would mean open war with Russia. That’s precisely what some neocons in Washington want, for reasons of their own, but it’s not something the vast majority of Americans want.

Here is the hard truth: If the West is not going to send warplanes and troops, if we are not going to stop Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by force of arms, and by our inaction allow the bombardment of Ukrainian cities to proceed, then we need to be honest with the Ukrainians about that. We owe it to them to give them a realistic picture of what they can expect from us, and what they cannot expect. Indeed, we owe them a great deal more, but we at least owe them that.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is understandably trying to get NATO involved in the war. He is doing what any leader should do in his position, and he will likely go down in history for his courage and bravery in the face of the enemy. But if there is an off-ramp that might prevent what now appears to be the inevitable reduction of Ukraine to rubble, then Western leaders should not block it with bellicose talk and weak half-measures. We have had quite enough of both. Indeed, there were opportunities for the West to prevent this war, to persuade Moscow and Kyiv to negotiate a settlement, going back years. But in our fecklessness, we chose not to and instead kept talking tough and hoping for the best.

Now that Russia has entered this new phase of the war, the worst thing we could do for the Ukrainians would be to give them false hope as Russian forces close in, and then do nothing while their cities burn. If we will not do what’s necessary to stop Russia by force, then we should do what we can, right now, to broker a negotiated peace.

John Daniel Davidson is a senior editor at The Federalist. His writing has appeared in the Wall Street Journal, the Claremont Review of Books, The New York Post, and elsewhere. Follow him on Twitter, @johnddavidson.


February 04, 2019…..a word written here below that “yesterday”:

Dennis Prager was at his best today.   So often he is an advertiser selling his treasures and “ointments”…and I love to hear them.   Same voice, same tones, same words, same levels of selling the more pleasant parts of today contemporary conservatism with pleasant musical tones.

Verbal trumpets, tubas, and drums were his vocal instruments of American social, political, and religious combat today.   Even when he loses his cool, Dennis Prager remains rational.   The score reminded me of the first day I found him on radio when he was so accurately dressing (down)  the shallow,  crooked, sleazy, slippery political phony, Vietnam war playboy, John F. Kerry of Massachusetts, early November, 2004.

Today’s America is in deep trouble.  It’s leftist evil is at war with Honesty and honesty’s Truth seems to be losing.   The once honorable Democrat Party has been overwhelmed by the left’s fascists, the fascists who now own the American university, the American schools, the American newspapers,  from the Atlantic to the Pacific with rare exception.

Although our American Christian community voted 70% for their American Presidential hero, freedom  saving, Donald J. Trump in 2016, there are still large numbers of  parishes, synods, sects of this once freedom loving  Godfearing nation who  advance the horrors of fascism.

Dennis is scheduled to speak at the University of California at Irvine tomorrow evening stirring the hanky pank  leftists who rule the school and grounds there.  It is  commonplace in today’s Hillary-Barrack fascist-conned  university America from coast to coast to play games to cripple the crowds of any Americans who still believe in  freedom  the American way.

The program moved to review goings on at Grand Canyon University….a fascistic college advertising its kind of leftier Christianity, one which had just kicked young conservative truth man, Ben Shapiro, a still young, persuasive, polished mile-per-minute speaker off the speakers’ list.  Nothing quite like leftist Christian groups  showing tolerance these days.

The current lefty white Democrat Governor of Virginia is being attacked by current Virginia state Democrats of many shapes and colors,  not for other political mischief  he’s caused recently, but  something untoward he did thirty years ago starring vulgarly as a white racist  in a college picture.   Today’s Democrats there and around are screaming, even drooling at the mouth for vengeance……. in order to win votes, of course.

Leftism always stretches its beliefs and work from  the devious to the evil TO ACHIEVE THEIR FASCIST DICTATORSHIP. Its major followers have no respect for Truth, no energy to seek Truth, because they are so clever in the deceit they sell.

(I wish to thank the reader who shared the above “yesterday”! Has anything changed?

I think so by a percentage or two….Yes, a number of true American TRUTHFUL Conservatives from Congress appear to be among Ohio’s Jim Jordan Representative crowd. But Fascist-like Mon, Tues, and Friday guy GOP Mitch McConnell seems to run his brand of America both in public and in his closet WHILE AT WORK OR ……to be safe in that “OLD KENTUCKY HOME! (ghr)


 MARCH 3, 2022 BY JOHN HINDERAKER at PowerLine:


The Russians reportedly have launched multiple assassination attempts against Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky. So far none has succeeded. This account is from the London Times:

President Zelensky has survived at least three assassination attempts in the past week, The Times has learnt.

Two different outfits have been sent to kill the Ukrainian president — mercenaries of the Kremlin-backed Wagner group and Chechen special forces. Both have been thwarted by anti-war elements within Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB).

Can this really be true? If the Times’ account is accurate, some elements of Russia’s government are actively trying to thwart Putin’s assassination plots.

Wagner mercenaries in Kyiv have sustained losses during their attempts and are said to have been alarmed by how accurately the Ukrainians had anticipated their moves. A source close to the group said it was “eerie” how well briefed Zelensky’s security team appeared to be.

Either because of leaks from other Russian sources, as this article suggests, or perhaps because of penetration of Russian communications by Western intelligence services.

On Saturday an attempt on Zelensky’s life was foiled on the outskirts of Kyiv. Ukrainian security officials said a cadre of Chechen assassins had been “eliminated” before they could reach the president.

Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defence Council, told Ukrainian TV channels that Russian spies had tipped them off about the planned assassination.

Ukrainian officials claim the information that led to the deaths of the Chechens came from disgruntled agents in the FSB who oppose the invasion.

Of course this could be disinformation intended to sow confusion on the Russian side.

The Wagner mercenaries were unaware of the Chechen assassins but have carried out their own attempts to decapitate the government, after being embedded in Kyiv for more than six weeks, tracking the activities of 24 high-profile Ukrainian targets.

The group had been told to await the arrival of the Spetsnaz — Russian special forces — to provide them with a secure corridor out of Kyiv once the assassinations had been completed.

It sounds paranoid, but apparently there is good reason to think that Russia placed agents inside Kiev weeks ago with instructions to assassinate Zelensky and other Ukrainian leaders.

How any attempted assassination would be carried out remains to be seen:

The risk of such an operation would be very high and Wagner will be braced for casualties, they added. One theory is that once the group established Zelensky’s location, they could put a laser target marker on him and the Russian air force could fly in and drop a bomb.

At this point, one wonders how much Russia would gain by killing Zelensky. Reportedly, the Russian strategy was to take Ukraine with a blitzkrieg offensive and quickly install a puppet government. If so, that plan has gone by the boards. At this point, killing President Zelensky wouldn’t fool anyone, wouldn’t facilitate installing a pro-Russian regime, and would fuel unending resistance that Russia could hardly overcome with any plausible level of violence and repression.

Which argues for a negotiated cease fire that would allow Putin to save face. Except that it wouldn’t: he is all in on conquering Ukraine, but there is good reason to think that the oligarchs and some elements of Russia’s government, likely including the military, are appalled by Putin’s Ukraine adventure. For Mad Vlad, there may be no way out. Somewhere, people are betting on who will live longer, Zelensky or Putin.


Ukraine to Russian moms: Come get your boys

ALLAHPUNDIT Mar 03, 2022 at HotAir:  

AP Photo/Vadim Zamirovsky

Ukrainians understand that the only group capable of stopping Putin’s war machine is the Russian people. Putin understands it too, which is why he’ll do whatever possible to hide the human cost of the conflict. A key battle in the information war between the two sides is whether Ukraine can break through Putin’s firewall and galvanize Russians into resisting.

One obvious move is to appeal to their emotions by circulating images online of the damage Putin has done to Ukraine, but that may be easier said than done. Even if those images are accessible inside Russia, Ukraine may discover to its horror that Russians don’t care about their “brothers” across the border as much as we assumed.

But they do care about their children. That’s the other obvious move, broadcasting the fact that Ukraine has information on Russian POWs and is happy to provide it to worried parents back in Russia. Shrewdly, the Ukrainian government has already set up online channels for Russian parents to search for updates on their sons’ status, knowing that news of combat deaths or captivity will ripple through the Russian population via word of mouth. Today they took that campaign a step further, offering to release Russian prisoners of war — if their mothers will travel to Kiev to retrieve them.

According to the Ukraine Ministry of Defense Facebook page, Russian prisoners-of-war will be released to their mothers if the women personally travel to Kyiv for the reunification.

Given Russia’s invasion, the process laid-out by the Ukrainians is multifaceted. First, Russian mothers are directed to a Telegram channel or dedicated phone lines to confirm their sons are actually in Ukrainian custody. Then, the Russian women are asked to travel to Kaliningrad, Russia or Minsk, Belarus where they will need to take a bus or taxi to the Polish border.

From there, mothers should locate any border checkpoint with Ukraine, where they will be escorted into Kyiv and the Russian soldiers will be handed over.

That’s a clever way to jumpstart the word-of-mouth campaign while generating Russian eyewitnesses to the damage done to Kiev. Presumably the Russian military will also be more reluctant to attack the city if the public has reason to believe that Russian women are inside, there to save their boys.

But we shouldn’t presume too much about what Putin is and isn’t willing to do with innocents in the crosshairs. He took a dim view of human shields when he started babbling again about Nazis this morning:


Here’s graphic footage from one recent Russian attack that apparently targeted civilians:


This isn’t graphic but it’s an even clearer example of civilians being slaughtered en masse for no discernible purpose:


If any Russian mothers do show up in Kiev, the juxtaposition of Ukraine treating their boys humanely by sending them home while Putin sends them abroad to die would be another PR coup. Particularly considering that some Russian conscripts reportedly had no idea they were being sent to war:

Russia has mandatory year-long military service for all men under age 27, and Russian regulations say conscripts can be sent to a combat zone no earlier than four months into their training. But the soldiers’ mothers group says it has received a barrage of calls from Russian parents saying some conscripts were coerced or misled into signing up for service, or that they had barely served two months before being sent unprepared onto the battlefield.

Some conscripts told their mothers, according to Kurochkin, that they believed they were heading toward the Ukrainian border for drills, which is how Russia for weeks explained its massive buildup.

“Then they are being told: ‘Now you are contractors’,” he said. “And everyone’s phones are being taken away, while moms are crying and in panic.”

Unprepared and force to fight anyway: No wonder the invasion has been a logistical fiasco. Ill treatment of soldiers by the Russian military has been a sore spot inside the country for decades, leading to the formation of groups like the Committee of Soldiers’ Mothers of Russia. That’s who Ukraine is trying to galvanize by extending its offer to return POWs *if* their mothers are willing to travel to Kiev. It’s foolish to free an enemy soldier while the war is still on but Zelensky’s government has evidently calculated that the propaganda benefits if their invitation is accepted would exceed the military costs of letting Russian troops go. They’re more likely to win the war by having Russians rise up at home than they are by routing the Russian army on the battlefield.


This video, allegedly narrated by a Russian soldier griping about conditions, is another propaganda coup for Ukraine that’s circulating. The part about the Russian military not bothering to retrieve the bodies of the fallen seems true, at least, as there are many photos and videos online of dead soldiers lying in the snow, seemingly abandoned.


Some have claimed that Ukraine’s habit of showing off Russian POWs violates the Geneva Conventions, which specify that prisoners of war must not be subjected to “insults and public curiosity.” It’s illegal to abuse them or treat them as war trophies, publicizing their captivity to gloat over your military success. The unusual wrinkle in Ukraine’s use of “public curiosity,” though, is that it’s aimed at a specific strategic end. It’s not a matter of trying to demoralize the Russian military; it’s an attempt to turn the Russian people against Putin. A nation that has no realistic prospect of battlefield victory is playing the one card it holds that might conceivably provoke enough unrest in Russia to force Putin to quit.

I’ll leave you with this clip and encouragement to take five minutes to read about how a single battle may have saved Kiev — for now. The reason Putin’s army is bogged down outside the capital, per the WSJ, is because they were never supposed to arrive by land. The plan was to seize the Hostomel airfield 20 miles away and then fly in Russian reinforcements, who would undertake a lightning strike on the city. Ukrainian troops fought off the Russian attack, however, delaying the siege and given Zelensky time to rally the world against Putin. It’s anyone’s guess whether a quick Russian takeover of Kiev would have drawn the same degree of economic pain from the west that Russia ended up facing. One small battle can change the world.


The War in Ukraine Looks Unwinnable (for Everyone)

Eric Levitz – Yesterday at the Intelligencer microsoft news

The first week of Russia’s war in Ukraine has offered some cause for optimism and inspiration (especially when viewed through a smartphone in a peaceful country). The Ukrainian people have resisted imperial domination with awesome courage. In so doing, they have surprised their enemies and allies alike. Vladimir Putin patently underestimated the Ukrainians’ investment in national sovereignty and liberal democracy, apparently betting that he could take Kyiv with a small fraction of his armed forces and little heavy artillery. This miscalculation enabled Ukraine to impose heavy losses on its invaders, and deny Russia dominance of its airspace and major cities through the first five days of combat.

Ukraine’s demonstration of resolve proved contagious. Initially, the West’s sanctions against Russia were less than meets the eye. But that changed over the weekend, when Europe and the U.S. announced that they were freezing all Russian central bank assets and evicting Russian banks from the international payments system known as SWIFT. These moves will impose heavy losses on many of the West’s capitalists, and higher prices on its ordinary citizens. In an age when myopic nationalism has sometimes looked like the only alternative to amoral capitalism, it is heartening to see international solidarity triumph over pecuniary calculations.

Funnel these uplifting developments through social media feeds that algorithmically foreground stories of Ukrainian heroism and Russian humiliation, and you might well see an impending triumph for democratic forces.

As of this writing, however, a remotely happy ending to the war in Ukraine looks unlikely.

The Ukrainians’ heroic struggle has already succeeded in humiliating Putin and hobbling his nation. It is hard to name a strategic priority of Putin’s that his own invasion hasn’t undermined. Putin has long sought to divide his Western adversaries and weaken European unity. The war in Ukraine has done the opposite. He has aimed to crush pro-Western sentiment in Ukraine. His aggression has cemented it, with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy seeking Ukraine’s admission into the European Union. Putin has cultivated an alliance with China to counterbalance American power. The invasion has led Beijing to distance itself from Moscow; China has thus far refused to support the ruble from Western attack, and called for the protection of civilians in Ukraine. Finally, the legitimacy of Putin’s regime is founded, in no small part, on its success in shielding ordinary Russians from the economic turmoil that they suffered during the 1990s (thanks partly to America’s market fundamentalist advice). Now, Russians are seeing their living standards collapse overnight.

So, Putin’s war of aggression will almost certainly be remembered as a disaster for Russia, and a stain on his legacy. But just because Russia is poised to lose this war does not mean that someone else is going to win it.

It is possible to imagine a scenario in which Ukraine emerges from this crucible with its sovereignty intact. By most accounts, the Russian public and army were not prepared for the kind of war that they now confront. To the extent that Putin primed his nation for an armed struggle, it was against a hollow client state in Kyiv that would fall with relatively little complaint from the Ukrainian populace. A prolonged, bloody, regime-change war against a nation of 44 million people — one that has deep cultural and kinship ties to the Russian population, and that committed no offensive act against the Russian state — is a very different proposition. There is virtually no popular buy-in for that kind of conflict among the Russian people. In a survey of 3,245 Russians taken in December, only 8 percent of respondents agreed that Russia should “send military forces to fight against Ukrainian government troops.”

Putin is already facing an extraordinary amount of domestic dissent, given how aggressively his regime punishes subversion. Multiple Russian celebrities have criticized the war. On Tuesday, a municipality in central Moscow condemned it as a source of “shame” that “cannot be washed away.” In an apparent sign of the regime’s insecurity, Russian authorities took Moscow’s leading radio station off the air Tuesday, while restricting access to the website of a major television station.  Meanwhile, there are scattered reports of Russian soldiers surrendering en masse or sabotaging their vehicles to avoid combat.

It is therefore conceivable that a combination of mass infantry defections and domestic unrest might lead Putin to accept a negotiated settlement that leaves the bulk of Ukrainian territory under Kyiv’s wholly independent authority.

Yet precisely because Putin’s strategic interests have been so thoroughly degraded over the past week, this endgame seems less likely than not. After this war, a genuinely sovereign Ukraine — especially one shorn of its most pro-Russian, eastern provinces — is certain to be more hostile to Russia and more closely aligned with the West than it was before the conflict commenced. In other words, a truly independent Ukraine has never been a more threatening prospect to the Kremlin than it is now. So long as Putin remains in power, and Russia retains overwhelming military dominance over Ukraine, it’s hard to see Putin granting Ukrainians’ anything more than a heavily circumscribed sovereignty. Perhaps, if Russian forces are sufficiently bloodied, Putin might be willing to countenance an independent Kyiv that is formally committed to “neutrality” between Russia and the West. Should Ukraine make that concession, however, they will have suffered a form of defeat.

The other route to Ukraine’s triumph would be for the present crisis to trigger Putin’s overthrow. If this is the best-case scenario, from a liberal internationalist perspective, it lies in close proximity to the worst-case scenario; dictators who feel their grip on power slipping are not known for their martial restraint. How a tyrant with access to a large nuclear arsenal might behave with his back against the wall is not a fun question to contemplate.

Regardless, this scenario strikes most Russia observers as extremely unlikely. As the Financial Times notes, two decades into Putin’s reign, Russia’s oligarchic elite is now dominated by men who owe their wealth to state-run banks and energy concerns rather than to independent fortunes. Their dependence on Putin’s good graces and the stability of his kleptocratic regime is overwhelming. According to close associates of the oligarchs who spoke with the FT, “any form of dissent” among the Russian business elite “has become a distant prospect as Putin’s power becomes near-absolute.” Meanwhile, ordinary Russians are so thoroughly disenfranchised by Putin’s repressive state, it would be extremely difficult for them to foment the leader’s ouster, even if he didn’t enjoy a significant degree of popular support.

Rather than propelling Putin to the negotiating table or out of office, Ukraine’s surprising strength has instead lead him to embrace a more brutal military strategy. Over the past 48 hours, Russia has begun leveling civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv and Kyiv. As of Tuesday afternoon, a 40-mile-long military convoy of armored attack vehicles stood 20 miles from Kyiv. Its apparent intention is either to encircle the capital — starving its residents of food and energy until their will is broken — or to launch a frontal assault on the city.

Thus, at this moment, the most likely outcome of the war is a pyrrhic Russian victory. Putin has the weapons to prevail militarily in the initial conflict. But how he plans to build a remotely stable or legitimate puppet government atop the rubble is hard to see. Russia cannot win this war in any meaningful sense. A protracted occupation of a vengeful Ukraine will weaken Russia economically and geopolitically. The invasion itself has already inspired heightened interest in NATO membership among Russia’s unaligned neighbors. Germany has already moved to increase its military spending. And across the West, attempts will be made to reduce domestic reliance on Russian fuel exports. Putin can deliver a defeat to the Ukrainians, but not a victory to his own people.

If both Russia and Ukraine appear poised to lose this war, the same holds true of the world at large. One can perhaps find silver linings if one squints. It is possible that the West’s demonstrable willingness to subordinate prosperity to the defense of a democracy will reduce the probability of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

In the immediate term, though, the cost of food and energy is set to surge for consumers worldwide. In the world’s poorest regions, such inflation is liable to have a body count. Russia and Ukraine are collectively responsible for roughly 30 percent of the world’s wheat and 19 percent of its corn. They are also major suppliers of fertilizer at a time when global crop production is already suffering for a lack of that critical input. In Afghanistan, millions were already at risk of famine before the current spike in food prices. Sanctions and warfare are all but certain to depress Russian and Ukrainian agricultural production for some time to come.

War can produce breathtaking heroism and heartbreaking solidarity. But it primarily generates waste and suffering. Vladimir Putin has committed a grave crime against the entire world. The near certainty that he will lose this war is cold comfort, given the probability that everyone else will too.


MARCH 4, 2022 BY SCOTT JOHNSON at PowerLine:


Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky gave a press conference under dire circumstances yesterday with him speaking in Russian, Ukrainian, and English. He fielded questions for 55 minutes. I would like to post the whole thing for your information, but have only been able to find clips such as the 90-second highlight reel below. As the fate of Ukraine hangs in the balance Zelensky is the man of the hour. He harks back to the old-fashioned virtues. In the battle for the future I can only express my support and pray for his survival.



Unlike The Fascist Crooked Bidens of Today, President Trump IS AN AMERICAN WHO CAN IMPROVE OUR COUNTRY!

Why America Needs Donald Trump

By Laura Lam at American Thinker:

Looking at the crises facing America, the question of foreign policy leadership is crucial. As just one example, with Putin on the march, we all know that Ukraine’s fate would be very different if Trump were in the White House. Trump’s records of foreign policy achievements, which he achieved despite the Russia collusion hoax that hampered him, make a compelling case for Trump to lead America again. Here is an overview of Trump’s relevant global accomplishments.

Restoring relationships with America’s most important ally

Britain and the United States share a political culture based on the three pillars of Anglo-Saxon governance: Individual freedom, the Rule of Law, and Democracy. (Continental Europe has other versions of democracy.)

When Obama entered the White House in January 2009, the first thing he did was to remove the bust of Winston Churchill from the Oval Office. When Trump entered the White House, he quickly returned it to where it belonged. America’s relationship with Britain was his high priority and the Anglo-American alliance was strong and respectful.

Henry Kissinger, Nixon’s Secretary of State, asked Biden to uphold Trump’s policy in the Middle East. He called Trump’s Abraham Accords a breakthrough in Arab-Israeli relations:

“I think that one of the great successes of the previous administration was that they had lined up, that they had achieved two things in the Middle East,” Kissinger said. “One, to separate the Palestinian problem from all of the other problems so that it did not become a veto over everything else—and secondly, of lining up the Sunni states in actual or potential combination against the Shiite states, which is Iran, that was developing a capacity to threaten them. I think that this was a brilliant concept. We were just at the beginning of it.”

The Abraham Accords opened economic and political ties between the United States, Israel, United Arab Emirates, Sudan, and Morocco. This strengthened the Gulf states and Israel in defending themselves against the Iran-China alliance.

Trump’s support for ASEAN over Chinese expansionism

The ASEAN consists of Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Viet Nam. Throughout Obama’s presidency, China was free to intimidate these nations for its own economic gains.

We know that, acting through his son Hunter, then-Vice President Biden received around $31 million from Chinese businessmen with high-level links to Chinese intelligence. Knowing that, it’s hard to see as coincidental the fact that by April 2016 it was obvious that China was using its fishing fleet to expand its territorial claims in the South China Sea. The ASEAN’s traditional fishing industry was abruptly ended, and the individual nations’ financial security directly threatened.

Trump, correctly sensing what was going on, succeeded in confronting China while building up allies within ASEAN.

In March 2021, however, with Biden in the White House, China again expanded its military presence by sending a huge “fishing” fleet to the ASEAN’s seas, escalating the tension between China and the Southeast Asian countries.

Image: Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore. CC BY-SA 2.0.

Trump dealt with China’s aggression toward its neighbors

China created artificial islands in the South China Sea, using them as army bases for claims to offshore resources. The coast off Viet Nam with undersea oil reserves was in hot dispute and China threatened a border war with Viet Nam.

Trump took a firm position with China (which terrified Democrats) and Chinese troops withdrew their oil drilling process. Trump was much appreciated for his insight and statesmanship by Vietnamese people worldwide. Viet Nam was also quietly moving away from Communism, bringing huge economic progress as a result. Marxism is no longer a school subject.

Trump formed new allies in the wider Indo-Pacific region

With Trump’s guidance and commitment, the US, Japan, India, and Australia formed the Quad. The four Navies participated in their first joint exercise in November 2020. They held a summit in September 2021 with the theme, “The Quad countries pledge to promote an Indo-Pacific region that is ‘undaunted by coercion’.”

Hong Kong citizens trusted Trump

In 2014, the “Umbrella Movement” organized by university students emerged as the largest resistance to the Chinese regime. The peaceful protesters were assaulted, arrested, and tortured in prison. When Trump became President, protesters held American flags with Trump’s name while marching in the streets. In response to their pleas, he foretold that “Hong Kong would be treated the same as Mainland China.” So, when the new Security Law imposed sanctions on Hong Kong officials, Trump terminated Hong Kong’s preferential economic status.

Helping Taiwan to maintain regional stability

Trump made a firm commitment to Taiwan and signed into law the National Defense Authorization Act for the 2018 fiscal year. This authorized the re-establishment of the port of call exchanges between the Taiwanese and US Navies.

Taiwan is strategically critical for US security. Trump knew that if China took over Taiwan, Chinese troops could conduct naval and aerial blockades to choke off Japan, then use Taiwan’s military bases to attack Japan and the US interests. America would be pushed out of the Western Pacific. Guam and Hawaii are the next line of US defense but are isolated in the broad expanse of the Pacific.

When Biden became President, Taiwan became more vulnerable. Former national security adviser H.R. McMaster said, “Taiwan is the next big prize” for China and is “the most significant flashpoint” that could lead to a large-scale war.

Diplomacy with North Korea

Kim Jong-un personally admired Trump. In February 2019, they held a secret meeting in Ha Noi. A South Korean media report revealed the full details on Kim, based on intelligence sources. Trump and Kim talked about the US embargo and Kim’s nuclear ambition. In private, they apparently discussed decoupling of North Korea from China and Kim appeared enthusiastic. They met again secretly at the Korean demilitarized zone in June 2019. Sadly, the historic diplomacy was interrupted. Vietnamese sources revealed that Kim’s cabinet feared uncertainty and was afraid to abandon their nuclear power. Without that, and being a small state, the Chinese regime could easily crush North Korea for siding with the US.

Working to decouple Russia from China

Trump wanted to separate Russia and China, judging that the two leaders are simply maintaining a long-term relationship of convenience. For them, the ultimate goal is to overtake the democratic United States and Europe, starting with Ukraine and Taiwan. Such a mega-power alliance would permit Xi a wider scope of ambition for controlling the neighboring countries. 

Trump knew that Putin was concerned about Xi’s plan to dominate Southeast Asia. Putin also wanted to increase Russia’s presence there, but by economically competing with China. 

Now Putin and Xi have different worries with the escalation of the war in Ukraine. Putin has met strong local resistance unexpectedly. Xi is upset with the collateral damage for China, given its good relationship with Ukraine and a lot of investments in the country.

Practical solution with illegal migrants

Pro-Trump politicians were elected as leaders of Mexico and Brazil. With Trump’s diplomacy, nearly 30,000 Mexican troops were deployed to prevent illegal migrants from crossing Mexico. In 2019, Trump entered a bilateral agreement with the “northern triangle” countries: Honduras, Guatemala, and El Salvador. They would control the flows of illegal migrants and allow only those with a genuine fear of persecution to pass through.

Firm and clear resolve as a deterrent

According to The Hill, a recent poll by the Harvard Center for American Political Studies and Harris found the majority of American voters say that Putin would not have invaded Ukraine if Trump still occupied the White House.

What’s unfolding now in Ukraine was inevitable on January 20, 2021, when Trump left the White House. Our only hope is that Biden’s administration does not precipitate World War III.

Laura Lam is originally from Viet Nam, a nation that strongly supports Donald Trump.